OSTEOPOROSIS

Health Evidence Bulletins - Wales

Systematic literature search to December 2000 plus some key references from 2001

3: Interventions for the Primary Prevention of Bone Mineral Loss and Osteoporosis in Women

Primary prevention is defined as prevention in women and men within normal BMD range, ie within one standard deviation of the young adult reference meani.
i. World Health Organisation. Assessment of Fracture Risk and its Application to Screening for Postmenopausal Osteoporosis. WHO Technical Report Series 843. Geneva: WHO, 1994
(Type V evidence – expert concensus opinion based on a review of the literature)
The Statements The Evidence
3.1 Pre and Perimenopausal Women
  • Exercise
  • Soy isoflavones
3.1a. Exercise programmes may have a positive impact in premenopausal women. The weighted treatment effects of 4 randomised controlled trials showed that exercise training programmes prevented or reversed almost 1% bone loss per year in both lumbar spine and femoral neck in premenopausal women. The overall treatment improvements in BMD were 0.91% (95% CI, 0.44-1.37) per annum in the lumbar spine and 0.90% (95% CI, 0.29-1.50) pa in the femoral neck i.
(Health gain notation – 1 "beneficial")
Caveat: Individual studies were small and there were large differences in type, duration, frequency and intensity of the training among different programmes. The overall treatment effects for the controlled trials were almost twice as high as those for the randomised controlled trials. All studies but one analysed only those compliant with exercise, rather than using an intention-to-treat analysis. Thus it was difficult to draw firm conclusions about overall effect and the effect of different types of exercise (high or low impact).

Another review of 8 trials found that exercise programs resulted in 1.5% (95% CI, 0.6-2.4%) bone loss prevented at the lumbar spine after impact exercise and 1.2% (95% CI, 0.7-1.7%) after non-impact exercise. More studies are required to determine the optimal intensity and type of exercise ii.
Caveat: Individual studies were small and had significant heterogeneity and some high drop out rates. No unpublished studies were included and publication bias may also be a problem.

A systematic review of the effect of exercise for the prevention of low bone mass in young people is underwayiii.

i. Wolff I, van Croonenborg JJ, Kemper HCG, Kostense PJ, Twisk JWR. The effect of exercise training programs on bone mass: a meta-analysis of published controlled trials in pre- and postmenopausal women. Osteoporosis International 1999; 9(1): 1-12
(Type I evidence – systematic review of studies published up to December 1996. Four randomised-controlled trials and three controlled trials looked at premenopausal women – most studies did not use an intention-to-treat analysis)

ii. Wallace BA, Cumming RG. Systematic review of randomized trials of the effect of exercise on bone mass in pre- and postmenopausal women. Calcified Tissue International 2000; 67(1): 10-18
(Type I evidence – systematic review (literature search of Medline to 1997 only), of 8 randomised controlled trials)

iii. Kemper HCG, Bakker I, van Tulder MW, Kostense PJ, Courtiex D. Exercise for preventing low bone mass in young males and females (Protocol). Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. Cochrane Library 2001, Issue 4
(Type I evidence - systematic review of randomised and non-randomised controlled trials, of healthy males and females aged 6-35 years, in progress)

3.1b. From the results of one small trial, soy isoflavones attenuated bone loss from the lumbar spine in perimenopausal women. Compared to control, isoflavone rich soy had a positive effect on BMD and bone mineral content (BMC) of 5.6% (p=0.023) and 10.1% (p=0.0032) respectively i
(Health gain notation – 4 "unknown")
Caveat: A small trial with various potential confounders which may be of interest as a pilot study.
i. Alekel DL, St Germain A, Peterson CT, Hanson KB, Stewart JW, Toda T. Isoflavone-rich soy protein isolate attenuates bone loss in the lumbar spine of perimenopausal women. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2000; 72(3): 844-852
(Type II evidence – 24 week randomised controlled trial of 69 perimenopausal women assigned to isoflavone-rich soy (SPI+, n=24), isoflavone-poor soy (SPI-, n=24) or whey (control, n=21) protein. All subjects received a supplement of 160 mg calcium daily)

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3.2 Postmenopausal Women (within normal BMD range)
  • Calcium and/or vitamin D supplementation
  • Hormone replacement therapy
  • Exercise
3.2a. A calcium supplement of 750 mg/day prevents loss of BMD, reduces femoral medullary expansion, secondary hyperparathyroidism, and high bone turnoveri.
(Health gain notation – 1 "beneficial")
A supplement of 15 micrograms/day vitamin D3 was less effective, and because its effects are seen only at low calcium intakes, this suggests that its beneficial effect is to reverse calcium insufficiency. There was no significant difference in fracture rates between groups. Gastrointestinal symptoms, mainly constipation, caused 12 subjects to drop out and 10 of these were taking the calcium supplementi.

A systematic review to determine the effectiveness of concurrent vitamin D and calcium, and vitamin D supplementation alone on bone loss in healthy post-menopausal women is currently underwayii.
(See Section 4.3 concerning calcium and vitamin D supplementation in older women)

i. Peacock M, Liu G, Carey M et al. Effect of calcium or 25OH vitamin D3 dietary supplementation on bone loss at the hip in men and women over the age of 60. Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism 2000; 85(9): 3011-3019
(Type II evidence – 4 year randomised controlled trial of 316 women (mean age 73.7 years) and 122 men (mean age 75.9 years). Subjects were randomised to 750 mg calcium or 15 micrograms 250H vitamin D3. Baseline median calcium intake was 546 mg/day and median serum 25OH vitamin D3 was 59 nmol/litre. Low BMD or skeletal fracture were not reasons for exclusion from this study. An intention-to-treat analysis was used)

ii. Papadimitropoulos E, Shea B, Wells G et al. Vitamin D with or without calcium for treating osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. (Protocol) Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. Cochrane Library 2001 Issue 4
(Type I evidence - systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials in women aged 45-90 years, in progress)

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3.2b. Calcium supplementation slows the rate of bone loss significantly only in the first year of treatmenti.
(Health gain notation - 2 "likely to be beneficial")
A cost-effectiveness analysis in the United States suggested that it was cost-effective to give 34 months of calcium supplementation to women aged 75 years or over. If, as the published studies suggest, shorter periods of supplementation result in an equivalent reduction in the risk of hip fractures, calcium supplementation, for 14 months, becomes cost-effective for adults aged 65 years or overii.

A systematic review to determine the effectiveness of calcium supplementation on bone loss and fracture rates in postmenopausal women is currently underway. Subgroups will include early postmenopausal women and those who have already sustained a fractureiii.

i. Mackerras D, Lumley T. First and second year effects in trials of calcium supplementation on the loss of bone density in postmenopausal women. Bone 1997; 21(6): 527 - 533
(Type I evidence - systematic review and meta-analysis of 8 randomised controlled trials and 999 subjects)

ii. Bendich A, Leader S, Muhuri P. Supplemental calcium for the prevention of hip-fracture: potential health-economic benefits. Clinical Therapeutics 1999: 21(6): 1058-1072
(Type V evidence – cost-effectiveness analysis of three randomised controlled trials and 3737 subjects, of which 2161 were followed up)

iii. Shea B, Tugwell P, Wells G, Cranney A, Adachi R et al. Calcium for treating osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. (Protocol) Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. Cochrane Library 2001, Issue 4
(Type I evidence - systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials, in progress)

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3.2c. Low dose Vitamin D supplementation does not prevent bone loss in healthy, nonosteoporotic, early postmenoapusal womeni.ii, and it confers no benefit additional to that of HRT alonei.
(Health gain notation – 5 "unlikely to be beneficial")

Among 370 women who complied with 5 years of treatment, lumbar BMD had increased by 1.5% in the HRT and by 1.8% in the HRT + vitamin D group with a plateau after 2.5 years, whereas it had decreased by 4.6% and 4.7% in the vitamin D and placebo groups. A positive long-term effect of HRT on BMD was also seen in the intention-to-treat analysis i.
(See Section 4.3 concerning calcium and vitamin D supplementation in older women and men)

i. Komulainen M, Krφger H, Tuppurainen MT et al. Prevention of femoral and lumbar bone loss with hormone replacement therapy and vitamin D3 in early postmanopausal women: a population-based 5-year randomized trial. Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism 1999; 84(2): 546-552
(Type II evidence – randomised controlled trial of 464 women from the Kuopio Osteoporosis Study aged 52-53 years. Women were randomised to 1) HRT (sequential combination of 2 mg estradiol valerate and 1 mg cyproterone acetate days 12-21. Treatment free days 22-28); 2) Vitamin D3, 300 IU per day and 100 IU per day in final year; 3) HRT and vitamin D3 combined; or 4) placebo)

ii. Hunter D, Major P, Arden N et al. A randomized controlled trial of vitamin D supplementation on preventing postmenopausal bone loss and modifying bone metabolism using identical twin pairs. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research 2000; 15(11): 2276-2283
(Type II evidence – 2 year randomised controlled trial of 79 monozygotic twin pairs (mean age 58.7 years, range 47-70 years). One twin randomised to 800IU cholecalciferol/day and the other to placebo. 64 pairs completed the study. Analysis was carried out according to intention-to-treat)

3.2d. Estrogen replacement therapy (HRT) (either sequential or continuous) maintains or improves bone density in post-menopausal womeni,ii,iii,iv,v.
(Health gain notation – 2 "likely to be beneficial")

A meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials of current HRT use noted a significant reduction in nonvertebral fractures. However, the effect may be attenuated in older women. There was an overall 27% reduction in nonvertebral fractures in a pooled analysis (reduction favouring HRT, Relative Risk (RR) = 0.73, 95% CI 0.56-0.94, p=0.02)). This effect was greater among women who had a mean age younger than 60 years (RR=0.67, 95% CI 0.46-0.98, p=0.03). Among women with a mean age of 60 years or older, there was a reduced effect (RR=0.88, 95% CI 0.71-1.08, p=0.22)iii.

In a subsequent letter, the authors updated the analysis with results from three further trials to give a pooled RR for all 25 trials of 0.79 (95% CI 0.63-0.99). For women under age 60 the RR=0.67 (0.51-0.88) and for women over age 60 the RR=0.91 (0.76-1.10)iv. Caveat: Fractures due to any cause were included in the analysis and they may not all have been defined as osteoporotic.

A further meta-analysis noted a significant reduction in vertebral fractures associated with current HRT use. Overall, there was a 33% reduction (95% CI 45%-98%). In this study, the pooled relative risks for vertebral fracture in women under and over the age of 60 were similar. The relative risk for vertebral fracture in the ten trials of women without osteoporosis (6513 subjects) was not significant (0.81, 95% CI 0.50-1.33, p=0.40)v.

The results of large ongoing randomised controlled trials should resolve the question as to whether HRT treatment results in a significant reduction in fracture risk.

A systematic review to develop estimates of the benefits of primary prevention treatment with HRT taken for long-term in postmenopausal women, on bone density and fractures, is currently underwayvi.

i. Udoff L, Langenberg P, Adachi E. Combined continuous hormone replacement therapy: a critical review. Obstetrics and Gynecology 1995; 86(2): 306 - 316
(Type I evidence - systematic review, Medline only, of 9 randomised controlled trials and 412 patients – all studies showed either maintenance or improvement of BMD but significance data were not given)

ii. Anonymous. Osteoporosis. Clinical Guidelines for Prevention and Treatment. London: Royal College of Physicians, 1999
http://www.doh.gov.uk/osteorep.htm  
[accessed 29.11.01]
(Type V evidence – Guidelines based on a systematic review of the literature)

iii. Torgerson DJ, Bell-Syer SEM. Hormone replacement therapy and prevention of nonvertebral fractures. A meta-analysis of randomised trials. Journal of the American Medical Association 2001; 285(22): 2891-2897
(Type I evidence – systematic review and meta-analysis of HRT trials (8774 subjects) that collected fracture data but may not have focussed on fracture prevention. The trials included women with normal BMD, low BMD and osteoporosis)

iv. Torgerson DJ, Bell-Syer SEM. A meta-analysis of hormone replacement therapy for fracture prevention. Journal of the American Medical Association 2001; 286(17): 2096-2097
(Type V evidence – letter containing the results of an update of the meta-analysis in reference iii, including fracture data from 25 trials)

v. Torgerson DJ, Bell-Syer SEM. Hormone replacement therapy and prevention of vertebral fractures: A meta-analysis of randomised trials. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders 2001; 2: 7
http://www.biomedcentral.com/
1471-2474/2/7
[accessed 29.11.01]
(Type I evidence - systematic review and meta-analysis of 13 randomised controlled trials (6723 subjects) of HRT treatment that reported vertebral fractures. The trials included women with normal BMD, low BMD and osteoporosis)

vi. Tugwell P, Wells G. Shea B et al. Hormone replacement therapy for osteoporosis in postmenopausal women (Protocol). Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. Cochrane Library 2001, Issue 4.
(Type I evidence - systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials, cohort and case control studies of peri- and postmenopausal women aged >50 who are currently taking, or have ever taken, HRT. In progress)

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3.2e. Evidence from observational studies also suggest that HRT therapy leads to an overall reduction in non-vertebral fractures (but see Statement 3.2d)i,ii. In a case-control study comparing women who had never used HRT, current users had an odds ratio of 0.35 (95% CI 0.24-0.53) for hip fracture and former users had an odds ratio of 0.76 (95% CI 0.57-1.01). For every year of therapy the overall risk reduced by 6% (95% CI 3%-9%) and this was greater with regimens with progestin. After five years without HRT the protective effect was substantially dimished. Oestrogen treatment with skin patches gave similar risk estimates as oral regimens. Recent use of HRT is required for optimum fracture protection, but therapy can be started several years (nine or more) after the menopausei.

A cohort study suggested that it is possible to reduce the number of forearm fractures and possibly the total number of fractures in recent postmenopausal women by use of HRT as primary prevention. After adjusting for age and spinal BMD at the start of the study, the overall fracture risk was reduced with borderline statistical significance (relative risk, RR=0.73, 95% CI 0.50-1.05) and forearm fracture risk was significantly reduced (RR=0.45, 95% CI 0.22-0.90). Compliance with HRT was 65% after 5 years and there was a statistically significant overall reduction in fracture risk for these women. The number of serious adverse events was too small to draw definite conclusionsii.
Caveat: A potential confounder is that the subjects randomised to no HRT were a little older that those randomised to HRT, and consequently had a slightly lower BMD.

i. Michaλlsson K, Baron JA, Farahmand BY et al. Hormone replacement therapy and risk of hip fracture: population based case-control study. British Medical Journal 1998; 316: 1858-1863
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/
full/316/7148/1858
[accessed 29.11.01]
(Type IV evidence – case-control study of 1327 women, aged 50-81, with hip fracture and 3262 randomly selected controls)

ii. Mosekilde L, Beck-Nielsen H, Sψrensen OH et al. Hormonal replacement therapy reduces forearm fracture incidence in recent postmenopausal women – Results of the Danish Osteoporosis Prevention Study. Maturitas 2000; 36(3): 181-193
(Type II/IV evidence – 5-year controlled prospective cohort study of 2016 healthy women (aged 45-58 years and 3-24 months past last menstrual bleeding). There were two main study arms: The randomised arm (randomised to HRT; N=502 or not: N=504 – not blinded) and a non-randomised arm (on HRT; N=221 or not: N=789 by own choice). First line HRT was oral sequential oestradiol/norethisterone in women with intact uterus and oral continuous oestradiol in hysterectomised women. An intention to treat analysis was used)

 

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3.2f. One small subgroup study found that response to HRT was independent of smoking status and low Body Mass Index, two important risk factors for osteoporosisi.

However, another study found that current smokers (p=0.003) and women with low body weight (p=0.028) are at increased risk of poor bone response to early postmenopausal HRT. The authors concluded that smoking may negate the positive effects of HRT and slender smokers in particular are candidates for a poor response to HRTii.
Caveat: This was a post-hoc analysis on a very small number of women.

i. Bjarnason NH, Christiansen C. The influence of thinness and smoking on bone loss and response to hormone replacement therapy in early postmenopausal women. Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism 2000; 85(2): 590-596
(Type II evidence – subgroup analysis of 153 early postmenopausal women from a randomised controlled trial comparing treatments of 1 or 2 mg estradiol with placebo)

ii. Komulainen M, Krφger H, Tuppurainen MT, Heikkinen A-M, Honkanen R, Saarikoski S. Identification of early postmenopausal women with no bone response to HRT: results of a five-year clinical trial. Osteoporosis International 2000; 11(3): 211-218
(Type II evidence- a sub-study of non-responders (n=8 according to lumbar spine BMD and 19 according to femoral neck BMD) from the HRT group (n=232 of which 77% complied with medication) in the Kuopio Osteoporosis randomised controlled trial)

3.2g. HRT, especially long-term use, may be associated with an increased risk of invasive epithelial ovarian cancer. The relative risk (RR) for women who had ever used HRT (unopposed estrogen or estrogen+progestin, 10 studies) was 1.15 (95% CI, 1.05-1.27). For women who had used HRT for more than 10 years the RR=1.27 (95% CI, 1.00-1.61)i.

The summary relative risk (RR) for endometrial cancer was 2.3 (95% CI, 2.1-2.5) for estrogen users vs non-users with a much higher RR associated with prolonged duration (RR for 10 or more years = 9.5, 95% CI, 7.4-12.3). The summary RR for endometrial cancer remained elevated 5 or more years after discontinuation of unopposed estrogen therapy (RR=2.3, 95% CI, 1.8-3.1). Interrupting estrogen for 5-7 days per month was not associated with a lower risk than daily use. Users of unopposed conjugated estrogen had a greater increase in risk than users of synthetic estrogens. The risk of death from endometrial cancer (4 studies) was elevated among unopposed estrogen users (RR=2.7, 95%CI, 0.9-8.0) ii.

Among estrogen plus progestin users, cohort studies showed a decreased risk of endometrial cancer (RR=0.4, 95% CI, 0.2-0.6) whereas case-control studies showed a small increase (RR=1.8, 95% CI, 1.1-3.1) ii.

From a more recent case-control study it was estimated that the unopposed estrogen use, for 5 years, was associated with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of developing endometrial cancer of 2.17 (95% CI, 1.91-2.47). This was compared to no increase in risk (OR=1.07, 95% CI for 10 or more days sequential estrogen-progestins 0.82-1.41 and 95% CI for continuous estrogen-progestins 0.80-1.43) with estrogen plus progestin regimens. When progestin was given for less than 10 days the adjusted OR was 1.87 (95% CI, 1.32-2.65). The authors concluded that this sharp distinction suggests that the extent of endometrial sloughing may play a critical role in determining endometrial cancer riskiii.
(Health gain notation – 3 "trade-off between beneficial and adverse effects")

i. Garg PP, Kerlikowski K, Subak L, Grady D. Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of epithelial ovarian cancer: a meta-analysis. Obstetrics & Gynecology 1998; 92(3): 472-479
Reviewed as: Anonymous. Review: Postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy is associated with increased invasive ovarian cancer, especially after long-term use. ACP Journal Club 1999; 130: 23
(Type IV evidence – systematic review of 10 observational studies, 4392 women with ovarian cancer. There was some heterogeneity in the results)

ii. Grady D, Gebretsadik T, Kerlikowske K, Ernster V, Petitti D. Hormone replacement therapy and endometrial cancer risk: a meta-analysis. Obstetrics and Gynecology 1995; 85(2): 304-313
(Type IV evidence – systematic review and meta-analysis of 37 observational studies of unopposed estrogen use and 7 studies of estrogen plus progestin. One further cohort study and one randomised controlled trial of estrogen + progestin were also reviewed in which no cases of endometrial cancer were observed in the treatment groups. Significant heterogeneity was found in multiple summary estimates)

iii. Pike MC, Peters RK, Cozen W et al. Estrogen-progestin replacement therapy and endometrial cancer. Journal of the National Cancer Institute 1997; 89: 1110-1116
(Type IV evidence – case-control study of 833 postmenopausal women with a diagnosis of invasive endometrial cancer compared with 791 control subjects)

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3.2h. There is a small increase in the risk of developing breast cancer in women using HRT and the risk increases with duration of use. Among current users of HRT or those who ceased use 1-4 years previously, the relative risk of having breast cancer diagnosed increased by a factor of 1.023 (95% CI 1.011-1.036, 2p=0.0002) for each year of use; the relative risk was 1.35 (1.21-1.49, 2p=0.00001) for women who had used HRT for five years or longer (average duration of use in this group, 11 years). This increase is comparable with the effect on breast cancer of delaying menopause, since among never-users of HRT the relative risk of breast cancer increases by a factor of 1.028 (1.021-1.034) for each year older at menopause. Five or more years after cessation of HRT use, there was no significant excess of breast cancer overall, or in relation to duration of usei.
(Health gain notation – 3 "trade-off between beneficial and adverse effects")
i. Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer. Breast cancer and hormone replacement therapy: collaborative reanalysis of data from 51 epidemiological studies of 52705 women with breast cancer and 108411 women without breast cancer. Lancet 1997; 350: 1047-1059
(Type IV evidence - systematic review of observational studies)

 

 

 

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3.2i. In contrast to the results from observational studiesi, pooled data of adverse events in a number of HRT trials do not support the notion that postmenopausal hormone therapy prevents cardiovascular eventsii,iii.

The calculated odds ratio for women taking hormones versus those not taking hormones was 1.39 (95% CI 0.48-3.95) for cardiovascular events without pulmonary embolus and deep vein thrombosis and 1.64 (95% CI 0.65-4.18) with themii.
Caveat: Unfortunately data on cardiovascular events were not reported systematically within the trials but the authors concluded that it was unlikely that such results would have occurred if the true odds ratio were 0.7 or less. The authors also stressed that these results concern only short term effects and long term results may be different.

Data from unpublished (licensing) trials also support the conclusion that clinical trials do not result in a beneficial effect of HRT on cardiovascular eventsiii.
Caveat: The trials, and their reporting of unanticipated adverse events, were mostly inadequate.

Pooled results from a number of trials suggest that estrogen replacement therapy reduces low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol by 15-19% and increases high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol by 6-18%iv.

The risk of ischaemic stroke due to HRT was assessed as 1.12 (95% CI, 1.01-1.25). A random effects model suggested an increased risk of 18%. In contrast, a significantly reduced risk for haemorrhagic stroke of 35% was noted and there was no significant change in the risk of subarachnoid haemorrhage. No data regarding transdermal estrogen were availablev.

Current HRT use is associated with risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE)vi. The increased risk may be concentrated in new users. The adjusted odds ratio for VTE in current users of HRT compared with non-users (never-users and past users combined) was 3.5 (95% CI 1.8-7.0; p<0.001). The number of extra cases appears to be only one in about 5000 users per yearvii.
Caveat: Since hospital patients with other disorders were used as controls there may be some potential confounding (for example 15% of the control patients had fractures).

Firm clinical recommendations for the use of HRT in primary prevention of cardiovascular disease await the results of ongoing randomised controlled trialsviii.

i. Stampfer MJ, Colditz GA. Estrogen replacement therapy and coronary heart disease: a quantitative assessment of the epidemiological evidence. Preventive Medicine 1991; 20: 47-63
(Type IV evidence – systematic review and meta analysis of 31 case-control, cross-sectional and prospective cohort studies. The authors acknowledged the limitations of the meta-analytic approach to observational studies and adjusted for confounders)

ii. Hemminki E, McPherson K. Impact of postmenopausal hormone therapy on cardiovascular events and cancer: pooled data from clinical trials. British Medical Journal 1997; 315: 149-153
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/
full/315/7101/149
[accessed 29.11.01]
(Type IV evidence – pooled data of adverse events from a systematic review of 22 randomised trials, with three months or more of treatment, comparing HRT with placebo, no therapy or vitamins and minerals. 4124 women in total)

iii. Hemminki E, McPherson K. Value of drug- licensing documents in studying the effect of postmenopausal hormone therapy on cardiovascular disease. Lancet 2000; 355: 566-569
(Type IV evidence – update of an earlier review (ii) adding data from six unpublished trials attached to drug licensing applications in Finland

iv. Umland EM, Rinaldi C, Parks SM, Boyce EG. The impact of estrogen replacement therapy and raloxifene on osteoporosis, cardiovascular disease, and gynecologic cancers. Annals of Pharmacotherapy 1999; 33(12): 1315-1328
(Type I evidence – systematic review, Medline only searched to September 1998, of 11 studies of raloxifene or HRT. Outcomes examined were BMD, fracture, cardiovascular and gynaecologic cancer risks)

v. Oger E, Scarabin PY. Hormone replacement therapy in menopause and the risk of cerebrovascular accident [French]. Annals d’Endocrinologie (Paris) 1999; 60(3): 232-241
(Type IV evidence – systematic review of 4 case-control and 3 cohort studies looking at ischemic stroke, 2 case-control and 3 cohort studies looking at haemorrhagic stroke and 2 case-control and 1 cohort study looking at meningeal haemorrhage)

vi. Anonymous. Osteoporosis. Clinical Guidelines for Prevention and Treatment. London: Royal College of Physicians, 1999
http://www.doh.gov.uk/osteorep.htm
 [accessed 29.11.01]
(Type V evidence – expert opinion based on a systematic review of the literature)

vii. Daly E, Vessey MP, Hawkins MM, Carson JL, Gough P, Marsh S. Risk of venous thromboembolism in users of hormone replacement therapy. Lancet 1996; 348: 977-980
(Type IV evidence – hospital based case-control study of 81 women with idiopathic venous thromboembolism and 146 matched hospital controls with other disorders. Women were aged 45-64 years)

viii. Mosca L, Collins P, Herrington DM et al. Hormone replacement therapy and cardiovascular disease. A statement for healtcare professionals from the American Heart Association. Circulation 2001; 104: 499-503
(Type V evidence – expert consensus opinion)

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3.2j. The evidence suggests that HRT should not be used with an expectation of cardiovascular or cerebrovascular benefit in women with established diseasei,ii,iii.
(Health gain notation – 5 "unlikely to be beneficial")

During an average follow-up of 4.1 years, treatment with HRT did not reduce the overall rate of CHAD events in postmenopausal women with established coronary disease. The treatment increased the rate of venous thromboembolic events (relative hazard = 2.89, 95% CI 1.50-5.58). There were more CHD events in the hormone group than the placebo group during year one but fewer in years 4-5i.

A recent trial found that neither estrogen alone, nor estrogen plus medroxyprogesterone acetate affected the progression of coronary atherosclerosis in women with established diseaseii.

Estradiol does not reduce mortality or the recurrence of stroke in postmenopausal women with cerebrovascular disease (relative risk in the estradiol group = 1.1, 95% CI 0.8-1.4)iii. The women randomly assigned to estrogen therapy had a (non-significant) higher risk of fatal stroke (RR=2.9, 95% CI 0.9-9.0), and their non-fatal strokes were associated with slightly worse neurologic and functional deficitsiii.

The American Heart Association recommend that HRT should not be initiated for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular diseaseiv.

i. Hulley S, Grady D, Bush T et al. Randomised trial of estrogen and progestin for secondary prevention of coronary heart disease in postmenopausal women. Journal of the American Medical Association 1998; 280: 605-613
(Type II evidence – the HERS randomised controlled trial of 2763 women with coronary disease, younger than 80 years and postmenopausal with an intact uterus. The mean age was 66.7 years. Women were assigned to 0.625 conjugated equine estrogens plus 2.5 mg medroxyprogesterone acetate daily or placebo. 82% of those assigned hormone treatment were taking it at the end of one year and 75% at the end of three years. An intention-to-treat analysis was used)

ii. Herrington DM, Reboussin DM, Brosnihan KB et al. Effect of estrogen replacement on the progression of coronary artery atherosclerosis. New England Journal of Medicine 2000; 343(8): 522-529
(Type II evidence – randomised controlled trial of 309 women with angiographically verified coronary disease to receive 0.625 mg of conjugated estrogen per day, 0.625 mg of conjugated estrogen plus 2.5 mg of medoxyprogesterone acetate per day, or placebo. The women were followed for a mean (±SD) of 3.2±0.6 years)

iii. Viscoli CM, Brass LM Kernan WN, Sarrel PM, Suissa S, Horowitz RI. A clinical trial of estrogen-replacement therapy after ischemic stroke. New England Journal of Medicine 2001; 345(17): 1243-1249
(Type II evidence – randomised controlled trial of estrogen therapy (1mg estradiol - 17β per day) in 664 postmenopausal women (mean age, 71 years) who had recently had an ischemic attack. The mean follow-up period was 2.8 years. An intention-to-treat analysis was used)

iv. Mosca L, Collins P, Herrington DM et al. Hormone replacement therapy and cardiovascular disease. A statement for healtcare professionals from the American Heart Association. Circulation 2001; 104: 499-503
(Type V evidence – expert consensus opinion)

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3.2k. Primary care guidance for the use of HRT is availablei,ii.
Caveat: This does not include all the latest studies (see Statements above)
i. Welsh Medicines Resource Centre. Hormone replacement therapy I: The benefits and risks. WeMeReC Bulletin 2000; 8(2): 1-4
(Type V evidence – expert opinion)
ii. Welsh Medicines Resource Centre. Hormone replacement therapy II: Selecting and prescribing therapy. WeMeReC Bulletin 2000; 8(3): 1-6
(Type V evidence – expert opinion)
3.2l. Transdermal estradiol (combined with oral dydrogesterone) is effective and well-tolerated at dosages between 25-75 m g/di,ii
(Health gain notation – 1 "beneficial")

At two years, the difference versus placebo in percentage change from baseline of lumbar spine BMD was 4.7±0.7% with estradiol @ 25m g/d, 7.3±0.7% at 50m g/d, and 8.7±0.7% at 75m g/d i. In another trial patches delivering 17beta-estradiol were well-tolerated and highly effective. At 2 years, the difference from placebo in percentage change from baseline of L1-4 spine BMD was 6.2%, 7.6% and 7.8% for 50, 75 and 100 m g/d. 50 m g/d (the lowest dose tested) was considered a suitable dose but less effective than 75m g/d. There was little clinical benefit from increasing the dosage from 75 to 100 m g/d ii.

Transdermal 17beta-estradiol (E2) at doses of 25, 50, 60 and 100 m g/d for 24 months resulted in mean increases in bone mineral density of the lumbar spine of 2.37%, 4.09%, 3.28% and 4.70%. All increases, of spine and hip BMD, were statistically significant compared to placebo where lumbar spine BMD was decreased by 2.49%iii.

i. Cooper C, Stakkestad JA, Radowicki S et al. For the International Study Group. Matrix delivery transdermal 17beta-estradiol for the prevention of bone loss in postmenopausal women. Osteoporosis International 1999; 9: 358-366
(Type II evidence – randomised controlled trial of 277 early postmenopausal women with an assured calcium intake of 1g/d. Patients were allocated to one of four therapeutic groups: Transdermal 17 beta-estradiol patches delivering 25, 50 or 75 microg/d or placebo. Non-hysterectomised patients also received oral dydrogesterone 10 mg or placebo)
ii. Delmas PD, Pornel B, Felsenberg D et al. For the International Study Group. A dose-ranging trial of a matrix transdermal 17beta-estradiol for the prevention of bone loss in early postmenopausal women. Bone 1999; 24: 517-523
(Type II evidence – randomised controlled trial of 292 women with natural or surgical menopause for 1-6 years randomised to receive patches delivering17beta-estradiol twice weekly for 25 days per 28 day cycle (with dydrogesterone 10mg twice daily from days 11 to 24) or placebo. All women had an assured calcium intake of at least 1g/d)
iii. Weiss SR, Ellman H, Dolker M. A randomized controlled trial of four doses of transdermal estradiol for preventing postmenopausal bone loss. Obstetrics and Gynecology 1999; 94(3): 330-336
(Type II evidence – randomised controlled trial of 175 postmenopausal women without uteri. Only 97 women (55%) completed two-years of treatment but an intention-to-treat analysis was carried out)

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3.2m. In a small trial, tibolone (2.5 mg/d) was found to be an effective and well-tolerated alternative to estrogen in preventing BMD loss. At 96 weeks, BMD for treatment vs control groups at the lumbar spine was +3.67 vs – 0.94 (p<0.001), at the neck of femur: +0.78 vs –3.94 (p<0.001), at Ward’s triangle: +1.99 vs –3.51 (p<0.001) and at trochanter: +3.82 vs 0.57 (p<0.01). Four women in the treated and two in the control group withdrew due to adverse events. Vaginal bleeding occurred in seven women, all from the tibolone treated groupi.
Caveat : This was a small trial and a large prospective and controlled study is now required.
i. Beardsworth SA, Kearney CE, Purdie DW. Prevention of postmenopausal bone loss at lumber spine and upper femur with tibolone: A two-year randomised controlled trial. British Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology 1999; 106(7): 678-683
(Type II evidence – randomised controlled trial of 47 healthy postmenopausal women, 42 were included in an intention-to-treat analysis)

 

3.2n. Exercise may help maintain bone density in post-menopausal women i,ii.
(Health gain notation - 2 "likely to be beneficial")
Exercise programmes have a positive impact in postmenopausal women. 1.6% (95% CI, 1.0-2.2%) bone loss was prevented at the lumbar spine after impact exercise and 1.0% (95% CI, 0.4-1.6%) after non-impact exercise ii. More studies are required to determine the optimal intensity and type of exercise.
Caveat: As noted by the authors, individual studies were small and had significant heterogeneity and some high drop out rates. No unpublished studies were included and publication bias may also be a problem.

The weighted treatment effects of 25 randomised controlled trials showed that exercise training programmes prevented or reversed almost 1% bone loss per year in both lumbar spine and femoral neck in postmenopausal women iii.

Overall treatment effects for the randomised controlled trials on lumbar spine BMD were 0.96 (95% CI, 0.43-1.49) for endurance training, 0.44 (95% CI –0.32-1.21) for strength training and 0.79 (95% CI 0.35-1.22) for strength and endurance training. For femoral neck BMD the overall treatment effects were 0.90 (95% CI, 0.29-1.51), 0.86 (95% CI –0.18-1.91) and 0.89 (95% CI 0.36-1.42) respectively iii.
Caveat: Individual studies were small and there were large differences in type, duration, frequency and intensity of the training among different programmes. The overall treatment effects for the controlled trials were almost twice as high as those for the randomised controlled trials. All studies but one analysed only those compliant with exercise, rather than using an intention-to-treat analysis. Thus it was difficult to draw firm conclusions about overall effect and the effect of different types of exercise (high or low impact).

A systematic review of the benefits of exercise for preventing and treating osteoporosis in post-menopausal women, using bone density and fractures as outcomes, is currently underwayiv.

i. Kelley GA. Exercise and regional bone mineral density in post-menopausal women. A meta-analytic review of randomized trials. American Journal of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation. 1998; 77(1): 76 - 87
(Type I evidence -systematic review and meta-analysis of 11 randomised controlled trials and 719 subjects)
ii. Wallace BA, Cumming RG. Systematic review of randomized trials of the effect of exercise on bone mass in pre- and postmenopausal women. Calcified Tissue International 2000; 67(1): 10-18
(Type I evidence – systematic review, Medline search only to 1997, of 15 randomized controlled trials)
iii. Wolff I, van Croonenborg JJ, Kemper HCG, Kostense PJ, Twisk JWR. The effect of exercise training programs on bone mass: a meta-analysis of published controlled trials in pre- and postmenopausal women. Osteoporosis International 1999; 9(1): 1-12
(Type I evidence – systematic review of studies published up to December 1996. 12 randomised-controlled trials and four controlled trials looked at postmenopausal women – most studies did not use an intention-to-treat analysis)
iv. Bonaiuti D, Shea B, Iovine R, et al. Exercise for preventing and treating osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. (Protocol) Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. Cochrane Library 2001, Issue 4
(Type I evidence - systematic review of randomised controlled trials of exercise in healthy postmenopausal women aged 45-70 years, in progress)

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Health Evidence Bulletins: Wales, Duthie Library, UWCM, Cardiff CF14 4XN. e-mail: weightmanal@cardiff.ac.uk